Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.189501 0.204976 0.221354 0.240019 0.260752 0.283130 0.309184
2026-01-04 0.164950 0.187402 0.212723 0.243579 0.280417 0.323302 0.377468
2026-01-11 0.147924 0.173948 0.204648 0.243930 0.293426 0.354499 0.436792
2026-01-18 0.133099 0.160607 0.194182 0.238788 0.297430 0.373252 0.481015
2026-01-25 0.120654 0.148625 0.183715 0.231789 0.297257 0.385321 0.516382
2026-02-01 0.111481 0.139816 0.176229 0.227493 0.299555 0.400058 0.556192
2026-02-08 0.103329 0.131602 0.168694 0.222170 0.299470 0.410819 0.590687
2026-02-15 0.096839 0.125076 0.162829 0.218464 0.301010 0.423606 0.629214
2026-02-22 0.093280 0.122229 0.161702 0.221219 0.311994 0.451293 0.694651
2026-03-01 0.088843 0.117847 0.158058 0.219894 0.316488 0.469039 0.745445
2026-03-08 0.084349 0.113097 0.153547 0.216850 0.317889 0.481688 0.788641
2026-03-15 0.079777 0.107974 0.148163 0.212034 0.315945 0.488391 0.821577
2026-03-22 0.078054 0.106976 0.148920 0.216989 0.330658 0.525514 0.918520
2026-03-29 0.075799 0.105083 0.148230 0.219618 0.341770 0.557680 1.011519
2026-04-05 0.073135 0.102420 0.146182 0.219848 0.348700 0.582913 1.094472
2026-04-12 0.069572 0.098210 0.141483 0.215334 0.346807 0.591258 1.142267
2026-04-19 0.065911 0.093680 0.136042 0.209199 0.341449 0.592274 1.173682
2026-04-26 0.063032 0.090230 0.132141 0.205431 0.340095 0.600992 1.224368
2026-05-03 0.060157 0.086664 0.127876 0.200758 0.336651 0.605067 1.264542
2026-05-10 0.057762 0.083756 0.124541 0.197503 0.335623 0.613991 1.318322
2026-05-17 0.056651 0.082837 0.124415 0.199923 0.345743 0.647592 1.442169
2026-05-24 0.054913 0.080834 0.122384 0.198759 0.348653 0.665785 1.528446
2026-05-31 0.052994 0.078462 0.119623 0.196084 0.348284 0.676572 1.596205